Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000692 0.000786 0.000885 0.000998 0.001122 0.001253 0.001403
2025-10-12 0.000554 0.000685 0.000834 0.001012 0.001221 0.001455 0.001736
2025-10-19 0.000467 0.000614 0.000787 0.001004 0.001268 0.001574 0.001954
2025-10-26 0.000399 0.000553 0.000744 0.000991 0.001301 0.001671 0.002144
2025-11-02 0.000355 0.000517 0.000723 0.001000 0.001356 0.001792 0.002361
2025-11-09 0.000316 0.000482 0.000700 0.001001 0.001397 0.001895 0.002556
2025-11-16 0.000272 0.000434 0.000655 0.000969 0.001393 0.001936 0.002672
2025-11-23 0.000237 0.000395 0.000618 0.000944 0.001394 0.001983 0.002794
2025-11-30 0.000213 0.000371 0.000599 0.000940 0.001421 0.002062 0.002958
2025-12-07 0.000193 0.000350 0.000583 0.000939 0.001452 0.002145 0.003129
2025-12-14 0.000173 0.000326 0.000561 0.000928 0.001468 0.002207 0.003272
2025-12-21 0.000154 0.000303 0.000538 0.000913 0.001475 0.002257 0.003398
2025-12-28 0.000146 0.000298 0.000542 0.000940 0.001544 0.002396 0.003651
2026-01-04 0.000137 0.000289 0.000540 0.000957 0.001599 0.002516 0.003880
2026-01-11 0.000124 0.000272 0.000523 0.000948 0.001615 0.002581 0.004034
2026-01-18 0.000111 0.000254 0.000504 0.000936 0.001624 0.002634 0.004171
2026-01-25 0.000103 0.000245 0.000498 0.000944 0.001665 0.002734 0.004376
2026-02-01 0.000095 0.000234 0.000488 0.000945 0.001693 0.002816 0.004558
2026-02-08 0.000083 0.000214 0.000461 0.000914 0.001671 0.002821 0.004626
2026-02-15 0.000073 0.000197 0.000438 0.000891 0.001658 0.002840 0.004713
2026-02-22 0.000067 0.000187 0.000428 0.000887 0.001676 0.002905 0.004871
2026-03-01 0.000061 0.000179 0.000419 0.000886 0.001700 0.002980 0.005043
2026-03-08 0.000055 0.000169 0.000406 0.000876 0.001707 0.003028 0.005176